The odds of rolling 3 10 times in a row or rolling 1 each of numbers 1-10 in 10 rolls are the same.
This is because a dice is memory-less. The previous roll does not influence the next one.
Believing otherwise is called the Gambler's Fallacy, which you can wiki if you're unsure.
(Why do they have to be random. The game designers can design the feature so everyone always rolls a 42 if they wish, or perhaps they can have a slider mechanism on a dev control panel where they can pick a number based on their mood, or they can tie it to an aggregate measurement of the DDO economy on that server, or they can key it to pi * (phase of the moon) / day of the week * some_favorite_aunts_age...,)
You're correct of course The algorithm they use could be anything, and in the end only simulates randomness. What I meant was that as a purely mathematical exercise, the odds of any combination of numbers from 10 rolls, all 1s to all 20s, should be precisely the same.
Let's keep it simple, roll a d4 four times. Or roll 4d4, w/e.
What's more likely: rolling 4 ones, or getting each of the four numbers once?
There are 256 different possible roll combinations, assuming non-weighted dice, all equally likely.
Exactly one of them is 1,1,1,1. So there's 1 in 256 chance of getting four ones.
For getting 4 different numbers the possible rolls are:
1,2,3,4; 1,2,4,3; 1,3,2,4; 1,3,4,2; 1,4,2,3; 1,4,3,2;
2,1,3,4; 2,1,4,3; 2,3,1,4; 2,3,4,1; 2,4,1,3; 2,4,3,1;
3,2,1,4; 3,2,4,1; 3,1,2,4; 3,1,4,2; 3,4,2,1; 3,4,1,2;
4,2,3,1; 4,2,1,3; 4,3,2,1; 4,3,1,2; 4,1,2,3; 4,1,3,2;
- so there's 24 in 256 chance of getting each of the four numbers once.
Think about it. Or you can try searching wiki or google, though sadly, good introductions to probability are hard to find.
I have seen behavior that leads me to believe the rolls aren't random at all. I have two accounts, both VIP, and for the past 2-days their rolls have been exactly the same (yesterday a 3, today an 81 on both). Possible? Sure. But that's a 1 in 10,000 chance if the rolls are actually random and independent. This may have been going on for slightly longer, but I've become aware of it now.
Free stuff is still free, mind you, but the implication of daily dice is that they behave like dice. One has to wonder whether these particular dice are loaded.
Please check my signature for Silver Daily Dice rolls. I am not VIP, so I don't have weekly gold rolls.
If you are too lazy to click the signature or search forums
Recipemaker Guild: Top Chef School of Recipes
Event Statistics: Risia, Festivult, Midwinter, Daily Dice, Mimic Hunt
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